Please select your home edition
Edition

Collinson FX Commentary: Mar 26 - USD slides post tariffs

by Collinson FX 26 Mar 2018 13:05 BST 27 March 2018
Day 2, Bay of Islands Sailing Week, January 25, 2018 © Richard Gladwell

Collinson FX: Mar 26: Trump opens trade war

Equity markets continued to unwind under the threat of global trade wars. The Trump administration has announced the imposition of tariffs of up to $60 Billion on Chinese trade. This is the opening salvo on negotiations designed to curtail Chinese theft of 'intellectual property' and address the massive trade imbalance. China has responded with retaliatory tariffs but they can only lose this war.

They have an enormous trade surplus with the USA and 'free trade' has allowed this to flourish. Chinese markets have been protected by their own tariffs/trade restrictions, impeding trade partners, while taking advantage on free markets in the US. Command economies have worked well, as Asian Tigers have demonstrated, but challenges are here. Free Trade is transitioning to 'fair trade' and reciprocity!

The Dollar has suffered, with the EUR jumping to 1.2350, while the Yen has hit 104.50! This is a temporary reaction to 'trade wars' and the Feds activities should ensure the continued performance of a strong Dollar. The Central Banks that have been mired in the previous monetary cycle, should perform accordingly. The ECB, RBA, RBNZ and BoJ continue with QE, supporting vulnerable economies, thereby undermining their currencies. The NZD will open the week above 0.7200, while the AUD remains vulnerable, drifting below 0.7700.

Easter arrives this coming week so a shortened trading week should provide plenty of action.

Disclaimer: The details expressed in this website and accompanying documents or transmissions are for information purposes only and are not intended as a solicitation for funds or a recommendation to trade. Collinson Forex Ltd accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damages suffered through any act or omission taken as a result of reading or interpreting any of the information contained or related to this site

For more on Collinson FX the latest update click here now

Countries: | NZ: 0800 338 838 | AU: 1800 143 415 | NY: 1888 6257 833 | UK: 0800 0285 834 |